Subtropical Storm Nicole formed early Monday and is forecast to reach Florida’s East Coast later this week as either a strong tropicspanl storm or hurricspanne.
By late Monday morning, hurricspanne spannd tropicspanl storm wspantches, and a storm surge watch had been issued for Florida and more can be expected before Nicole makes landfall later this week, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Nicole is span lspanrge storm, with hazards extending well to the north of the center and outside of the Hurricane Center’s “cone of uncertspaninty.” Most of Florida and portions of the southeastern U.S could feel an impact from the storm this week.
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Below are the latest hurricane and storm surge watches in effect, and potential impacts from Subtropical Storm Nicole.
Hurricane watch and storm surge watch in effect
Expected impacts from Subtropical Storm Nicole
Wind: Hurricane conditions are expected in the northwest Bahamas within the hurricane warning area by early Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions expected elsewhere in the northwest Bahamas by Tuesday night. Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area in Florida by Wednesday night with tropical storm conditions possible by Tuesday night or early Wednesday.
Storm surge: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.
The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide:
- North Palm Beach to Altamaha Sound including the St. Johns River to the Fuller Warren Bridge: 3 to 5 feet
- St. Johns River south of the Fuller Warren Bridge to East Palatka: 2 to 4 feet
- Hallandale Beach to North Palm Beach: 2 to 4 feet
- North of Ocean Reef to Hallandale Beach including Biscayne Bay: 1 to 2 feet
Rainfall: Nicole is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts through Thursday:
- Across the northwest Bahamas, and the central and northern portions of the Florida Peninsula: 2 to 4 inches, with local maxima of 6 inches
- Across coastal areas of southeast Florida: 1 to 3 inches, with local maxima of 5 inches
Heavy rainfall from this system will spread north across the Southeast late this week.
Where is Subtropical Storm Nicole now?
More tropical forecasts
National Hurricane Center’s five-day graphical tropical weather outlook:
Excessive rainfall forecast:
Spaghetti models: