We’re one day away from the Floridspan School Athletic Associspantion announcing the 2022 football playoff brackets.
With the exception of three games Saturday, teams put the final touches on their regular-season resumes on Thursday and Friday.
The FHSAA has not announced what formula MaxPreps is using to determine the power rankings, so there’s no definite way to say who’s in/out or who will earn a specific seed.
What we can basically understand though, is that winning in Week 11 should help a team’s case and losing could hurt.
Using the Week 11 power rankings as a starting point, here’s how Thursday and Friday’s games could impact the brackets.
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Seminole held a narrow edge over Apopka for the No. 1 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Seminole was off in Week 11, but Apopka lost to Wekiva 20-14, which should cement the Seminoles as the No. 1 seed.
Lake Mary and Hagerty were separated by less than half a point for the No. 4 seed and home-field advantage in the first round. Lake Mary beat Mainland 20-14. Hagerty lost to Oviedo 26-18.
East Lake’s 63-34 win over Countryside, coupled with West Orange’s loss against Osceola (Kissimmee) could push East Lake up to the No. 1 seed. West Orange held a lead of less than a point in the Week 11 power rankings.
Sumner was the No. 5 seed last week and beat five-win Middleton 27-14. It will be interesting to see whether that win can propel the Stingrays ahead of Ocoee (No. 3) and Plant (No. 4) as both teams were off in Week 11.
Dr. Phillips, Olympia and Steinbrenner were separated by less than half a point for the final two spots. Steinbrenner beat Riverview 49-6; Olympia beat South Lake 41-20 and Dr. Phillips lost to Jones 35-14. The possible silver lining for Dr. Phillips is an eight-win Jones team should boost their strength of schedule.
Monarch beat Deerfield Beach 18-7 and should remain in the No. 2 seed ahead of Palm Beach Gardens, which beat Park Vista 42-7.
Forest Hill held a lead of 1.12 points over Jupiter for the No. 8 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Jupiter beat South Fork 27-7 and Forest Hill lost to Somerset Academy-Canyons 43-12 in Week 11. If strength of schedule is a factor, South Fork won two games in 2022; Somerset won five.
Somerset Academy, Miami, Cypress Bay and Goleman were separated by a total of 2.918 points for the final three spots. All except for Miami won in Week 11. Miami was the No. 7 seed in the Week 11 power rankings but lost to Miami Jackson 46-0.
Oviedo, Fletcher and Tampa Bay Tech were separated by less than 1.5 points for the No. 3 seed. Oviedo and Fletcher both won in Week 11 while Tampa Bay Tech was off. Wharton, which trailed Tampa Bay Tech by less than a point for the No. 5 seed, beat Hillsborough 27-7.
Wekiva’s 20-14 win against Apopka should be enough to hold off Horizon for the No. 7 seed. Horizon beat Windermere 29-14.
East Bay and Largo were separated by less than a point for the No. 4 seed. East Bay beat King 45-0; Largo beat Northeast 14-13.
Northeast was the No. 6 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Pinellas Park and Osceola (Seminole) trailed Northeast by 0.437 points. Pinellas Park beat Seminole 45-7 and Osceola beat Hollins 35-6. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see those three teams moved around in the seeding on Sunday.
Dillard and Ely play on Saturday night. Dillard leads Ely by 1.164 points for the No. 2 seed.
Atlantic trailed Plantation by 0.606 points for the No. 4 seed in the Week 11 Power rankings. Atlantic beat Santaluces 49-7; Plantation lost to Western 49-22.
Homestead had a 1.204 lead for over Miramar for the top seed in the region. Homestead was off in Week 11; Miramar beat South Broward 55-7.
Pembroke Pines had a 0.124-point edge over North Miami for the No. 7 seed. Pembroke Pines beat Pompano Beach 33-0; North Miami plays Westland Hialeah on Saturday.
Andrew Jackson and Bishop Kenny, the top two seeds in the Week 11 power rankings, both lost in Week 11.
Bolles, Ed White and Episcopal were separated by only 0.397 points for the No. 4 seed. Bolles beat Buchholz 49-28, which should strengthen the Bulldogs’ case and their strength of schedule. Ed White beat Baldwin 28-0 and Episcopal beat Zarephath 31-16.
Berkeley Prep and Lakewood were separated by 0.066 points for the No. 3 seed. Berkeley routed Robinson 62-7. Lakewood lost to Lakeland 48-20.
Robinson led Blake by 0.597 points for the No. 5 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Robinson lost to Berkeley Prep; Blake, which lost to Robinson in Week 10, was off in Week 11.
King’s Academy, Boynton Beach and Pine Crest were separated by only 0.810 points for the No. 4 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. King’s Academy lost to Benjamin 21-7, Boynton Beach beat Lake Worth 47-6 and Pine Crest lost to St. Andrew’s 39-28.
Norland led Northwestern by 0.513 points for the No. 3 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Norland beat Killian 42-12 and Northwestern was off in Week 11.
Jackson likely locked up the No. 7 seed — the final at-large berth in the region with district champion St. Brendan guaranteed a playoff spot — with a 46-0 win over Miami.
Orlando Christian Prep’s 35-28 win over previously undefeated Northside Christian should be enough to lock the Warriors into the No. 4 seed. Providence School, which beat Beachside 38-28, trailed Orlando Christian by 1.049 points.
Indian Rocks, Cambridge and Seffner were separated by only 0.969 points for the No. 4 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Indian Rocks claimed a forfeit win over Jordan Christian Prep, Cambridge beat Orangewood Christian 38-13 and Seffner Christian lost to Fort Meade 31-22.
Unless the power rankings take a drastic shift, here are the first-round matchups: No. 1 Chaminade-Madonna vs. No. 4 Avant Garde and No. 2 Cardinal Newman vs. No. 3 Benjamin.
Palmer Trinity trailed True North by 1.207 points for the No. 3 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. True North beat St. Brendan 28-14 and Palmer Trinity lost to Coral Shores 35-27.
Niceville narrowed the race for the No. 2 seed and trailed Buchholz by 0.835 points in the Week 11 power rankings. Niceville beat Navarre 35-14 while Buchholz lost to Bolles 49-28.
Mosley, Crestview, Gulf Breeze and Ponte Vedra were separated by just 0.774 points for the No. 7 seed. (Flagler Palm Coast, the District 4 champion, is locked into the No. 8 seed.) Mosley lost to Choctawhatchee 63-34, Crestview beat Fort Walton Beach 41-3, Gulf Breeze lost to West Florida 14-7 and Ponte Vedra lost to Creekside 47-22.
Springstead, Mitchell, Winter Haven and Bartow were separated by just 1.219 points for the No. 4 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Springstead’s lead over Mitchell was a razor-thin 0.040 points. Springstead beat Lecanto 14-0, Mitchell beat Wesley Chapel 42-15, Winter Haven beat Auburndale 14-6 and Bartow lost to Lake Wales 55-7.
Martin County trailed Osceola (Kissimmee) by less than a point for the No. 2 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Osceola beat West Orange 28-26, Martin County beat Jensen Beach 27-22.
Melbourne, which trailed Martin County by less than a point for the No. 3 seed, beat Eau Gallie 13-7.
Centennial and Spruce Creek were separated by 0.385 points for the No. 7 seed. Centennial beat Port St. Lucie 59-0, Spruce Creek lost to Sandalwood 27-24.
Manatee and Palmetto were separated by just 0.281 points for the No. 3 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Manatee beat Southeast 9-0. Palmetto, which beat Manatee in Week 10, was off in Week 11.
Lakewood Ranch led Sarasota by 0.010 points for the No. 7 seed. Lakewood Ranch lost to Booker 43-39 and Sarasota was off in Week 11.
Escambia held a 0.380 edge over Columbia for the No. 2 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Escambia beat Pensacola 35-6 and Columbia was off in Week 11.
St. Augustine, Lincoln and Choctawhatchee were separated by just 0.575 points for the No. 4 seed. St. Augustine beat Palatka 42-10, Lincoln lost to Florida High 10-9, and Choctawhatchee beat Mosley 53-34.
Rickards trailed Middleburg by 0.182 points for the No. 7 seed. Middleburg beat Fernandina Beach 28-14; Rickards lost to Madison County 28-21.
Cypress Creek, Lecanto, Auburndale, Gulf and River Ridge were separated by only 1.30 points for the No. 5 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Cypress Creek lost to River Ridge 35-25. Lecanto lost to Springstead 14-0. Auburndale lost to Winter Haven 14-6. Gulf beat Anclote 52-0.
Port St. Lucie held a 0.277 lead over Merritt Island for the No. 6 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Port St. Lucie lost to Centennial 59-0 and Merritt Island beat Viera 28-27.
Bayside led Satellite and Deltona by less than a point for the No. 8 seed. Bayside lost to Heritage 35-13. Satellite beat Space Coast 68-0. Deltona beat University (Orange City) 31-27.
Dunbar had a 0.254 lead over North Fort Myers for the No. 2 seed. Dunbar beat Fort Myers 29-27 and North Fort Myers beat Cape Coral 36-0.
Fort Myers’ edge over Port Charlotte for the No. 4 seed was 0.011 points. Fort Myers lost to Dunbar; Port Charlotte beat Braden River 36-20.
Pensacola Catholic, West Florida, Suwanee and Wakulla were separated by 1.019 points for the No. 2 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Pensacola Catholic and Wakulla were off in Week 11. West Florida beat Gulf Breeze 14-7, Suwanee beat previously undefeated Bradford 10-7.
North Marion’s lead over Eastside for the No. 4 seed was less than a point in the Week 11 power rankings. North Marion beat Seabreeze 55-34. Eastside beat Gainesville 36-0.
Palm Bay’s lead over Hudson for the No. 3 seed in the Week 11 power rankings was just 0.378 points. Palm Bay beat Sebastian River 21-14 and Hudson beat Fivay 34-14.
Frostproof and Estero were separated by just 0.528 points for the No. 2 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Frostproof lost to First Baptist Academy 41-0 and Estero beat Bonita Springs 35-17.
Fort Meade’s edge over Clewiston was a mere 0.186 points for the No. 4 seed. Fort Meade beat Seffner Christian 31-22 and Clewiston beat Okeechobee 38-21.
Unless the power rankings take a drastic shift, here are the first-round matchups: No. 1 North Florida Christian vs. No. 4 Maclay and No. 2 St. John Paul II (Tallahassee) vs. No. 3 Munroe.
Father Lopez trailed P.K. Yonge by less than a point for the No. 3 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. P.K. Yonge beat Keystone Heights 35-22. Father Lopez beat Taylor 36-6.
Cardinal Mooney jumped up to the No. 4 seed in the Week 11 power rankings, holding a lead of 1.949 points over Zephyrhills Christian. Cardinal Mooney beat Bayshore 50-3; Zephyrhills Christian lost to Nature Coast Tech 17-14.
First Baptist Academy led Evangelical by just 0.222 points for the No. 1 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. First Baptist beat Frostproof 41-0. Evangelical beat Community School of Naples 67-41.
Chipley jumped Northview for the No. 1 seed in the Week 11 power rankings, leading by just 0.125 points. Chipley beat Dixie County 35-0. Northview beat Bay 41-6.
Port St. Joe’s lead over Blountstown for the No. 2 seed was 0.317 points in the Week 11 power rankings. Port St. Joe beat Florida A&M 57-12. Blountstown was off in Week 11 but beat Port St. Joe in Week 10.
Wewahitchka trails Liberty County by a mere 0.149 points for the No. 6 seed. Liberty County lost to Jefferson County 24-14. Wewahitchka beat Jay 16-10.
Fort White’s lead over Madison County for the No. 4 seed — and home-field advantage in the first round — was 0.552 points in the Week 11 power rankings. Fort White beat Santa Fe 55-21 and Madison County beat Rickards 28-21.
Pahokee trailed Hawthorne by 0.780 points for the No. 1 seed in the Week 11 power rankings. Hawthorne beat Astronaut 52-0. Pahokee beat Glades Central 46-14.