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Tropical Depression 12 forms in Atlantic. Wave nearing Caribbean shows signs of strengthening

NewsTropical Depression 12 forms in Atlantic. Wave nearing Caribbean shows signs of strengthening

A new tropicspanl depression developed in the Atlantic Tuesday and a second is showing signs of strengthening as it approaches the Caribbean, according to the latest advisory from the Nspantionspanl Hurricspanne Center.

Tropicspanl Depression 12, located west of the Cabo Verde Islands, is expected to remain over open waters until it dissipates by the end of the week.

Invest 91L is a tropical wave that has a high chance of becoming a tropical depression over the next several days.

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Spaghetti models show the system on a path toward Central America. 

Heavy rain, with gusty winds that could reach gale force, are forecast for the Windward Islands, northern portion of South America and the ABC Islands.

Conditions can change rapidly and all residents should monitor the progress of tropical disturbances and be prepared.

The next named storms of the season will be Julia and Karl.

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Here’s the latest update from the NHC as of  8 a.m. Oct. 5:  

Tropical Depression 12

Tropical Depression 12 at 5 a.m. Oct. 5, 2022.

  • Location: 480 miles west of Cabo Verde Islands
  • Maximum wind speed: 35 mph
  • Direction:  northwest at 8 mph

At 5 a.m., the center of Tropical Depression 12 was located 480 miles west of Cabo Verde Islands. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph and a general motion toward the northwest is expected through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph, with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast and the system is expected to dissipate in a couple of days.

What else is out there and where is it?

Invest 91L: A broad area of low pressure located near the southern Windward Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

How likely is it to strengthen? 

Tropical conditions 8 a.m. Oct. 5, 2022.

Invest 91L: Radar imagery from Barbados and surface observations indicate the system has not become any better organized since yesterday.

However, upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the next several days if the system remains over water while moving generally westward at about 15 mph over the southeastern and southern Caribbean Sea.

An Air Force reconnaissance mission is currently en route to investigate the system this morning.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours: medium, 60 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days: high, 80 percent.

Who is likely to be impacted? 

Invest 91L: Regardless of development, heavy rainfall with localized flooding, as well as gusty winds to gale force, are expected over portions of the Windward Islands, northern portions of South America and the ABC Islands during the next couple of days.

It’s too early at this time to determine if there will be any impact to the U.S. from the tropical wave.

Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared during what’s expected to be an active hurricane season.

When is the Atlantic hurricane season?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

When is the peak of hurricane season?

Hurricane season's ultimate peak is Sept. 10 but the season goes through Nov. 30. Credit: NOAA

Although the season has gotten off to a quiet start, the peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.

Weather watches and warnings issued for your area

Tropical forecast over next five days

See the National Hurricane Center’s five-day graphical tropical weather outlook below.

Excessive rainfall forecast

What’s out there?

Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center.

What’s next? 

We will continue to update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site’s app to ensure you’re always connected to the news. And look at our specispanl subion offers here. 

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